Senator Barack Obama has not released specific details about his health care reform plan, although he has stated that universal health care is his ultimate goal.
The Commonwealth Fund has released a detailed plan which they claim is very similar to Obama’s plan. and it can be inferred that the it can be used to fill in the blanks for the missing pieces within Obama’s Plan.
One of those “blanks” that the Commonwealth Fund has outlined is a “Play-or-Pay mandate” on employers, I.e. companies that do not provide employer-sponsored health coverage to their employees will be penalized with taxes. The National Center for Policy Analysis (NCPA) estimates that this would amount to an additional 7% payroll tax.
John Goodman, the President of the NCPA says
During the Democratic primary, Sen. Obama criticized Sen. Clinton’s proposal to mandate health coverage by asserting she would try to force people to buy something they cannot afford and then tax them when they don’t buy it leaving them worse off than they were. Exactly the same criticism applies to Obama’s pay-or-play mandate.
Goodman went on to say that
A tax on labor (or mandated labor benefits) makes employment more expensive. It encourages employers to hire fewer workers, adopt labor-saving technology, employ part-time workers, and outsource labor.
There are many unknowns in how this plan for health care reform would actually play out, but many experts and think tanks, such as NCPA, believe that the costs will be much higher than Sen. Obama’s advisers predict, and achieving universal health care will be more difficult to achieve.
To read a more comprehensive and nonpartisan break-down of the Obama health plan, visit http://www.ncpa.org/pub/ba/ba628/.
The above commentary is the opinion of the NCPA, there are likely many other think tanks that are firm suppporters of Obama’s plan. In the coming weeks, we will summarize and present the opinion of other organizations that have contrary views.